Neural UI

I saw a post on Reddit asking about what life will be like wearing a Neural Lace and it got me thinking.  A bit about societal affects, a bit about security, but more about the User Interface.

(Hey, look! Reused original artwork from YT!)

For those who don't subscribe to /r/singularity or /r/futurology (or have been escaping their hum-drum lives through science (speculative) fiction for over thirty years), a Neural Lace is one of a couple of potential Mind-Computer interfaces.  It is imagined as a fine net of circuits that is draped over one's head and influences the brain through very close range radio signals.  Think of it as your smartphone as a hair net.

It is not the only potential direct-to-brain interface.  The other one that is knocked around is the Neural Shunt: a surgically implanted plug that allows you to jack the Internet into your brain.  A bit more invasive and a lot less reversible, which is why people like Elon Musk (obligatory fanboy 'squee!') are having their people look into Neural Laces.  But either way, the big question is how we will interact with this new information vector.

Eyes?  We don't need no stinkin' Eyes!

Most people immediately start thinking of glass-less Heads-Up Displays.  We will see information laid over our vision: direction arrows, info boxes around people, prices drifting over products.  These are all of the things that Augmented Reality is promising, but through goggles or glasses or contact lenses.  And maybe that is the first step.  Presumably, voice assistants will be part of this, so we'll ask (maybe outloud, maybe via subvocalization), "Where is the closest Starbucks?" and directions will be start appearing in our vision.

But then everything has to go through our visual cortex before it is processed by the rest of our brains.  Having information read back to us is no better, it just swaps the visual cortex for the auditory one.  Both are bottlenecks.  Instead, the UI should be more intuitive.  In fact, it should only be intuitive.  Think about how you 'know' the way to your work or home or parent's house or your favorite restaurant.  Rarely do you visualize it.  Or, at least, I don't.  I only start to visualize directions if I have to change them to get around traffic or road construction or something.  Even then, there is no overlay, just me thinking inside my head as pictures.  The eyes are not involved.

Just Know It (It's gotta be the lace!)

That will be the most powerful and most dangerous part of whatever Mind-Machine interface happens (and it will happen).  The slowest part of the interaction will be removed: input and output.  Just think what you want out into the Inter-webs.  No more typing, texting, talking, or any of that.  Your thoughts are intimately connected to the world.  Think a question, know the answer.  Do you want to know Kung Fu?  Then know Kung Fu.  Are you thinking about sending an email?  It was just sent.

(Not OC.  Copyright, Warner Brothers)

And that's the danger, too.  At least one of them.  Not only is our conscious mind connected, but so will our subconscious mind.  Our brains will be thinking at the rest of the world and with more than the things we think we'er thinking, but also all of the things we don't know (or won't consciously admit) that we're thinking.

(Copyright, DEG, Inc.)

If you think that the crazy social media posts are bad when people have to take the time to actually type them, wait until they have them connected to all of the different layers of their psyche!

Thought Crime

That takes care of the human output to the rest of the connected world.  What about the information that we will be receiving?  Set aside the 'truthiness' of that information (Wow! the spell checker knew 'truthiness') and how we validate that the information that we received is correct, and think instead about more malicious stuff.  Information viruses may (will) take on new dimensions of OMG.

Someone will quickly figure out how to wipe a mind via one of these devices.  Someone else will figure out how to 'Incept' a thought or suggestion.  They may even beat the person who figures out the full erase.  Then someone else will figure out how to network minds together and create a botnet of actual brains.  Then Ed Wood's uploaded persona will make "Attack of the Internet Zombies!"

There are a few potential solutions to all of this, but none of them are ready yet (neither are Neural Laces, so there is time).  Bitcoin for thoughts comes to mind, as does DRM for the brain.  Not perfect, but better than finding yourself part of a DDoS attack on the the mind of the US President.

Again, this will be a society changing technology similar to the personal computer and the smart phone.  Many things will become easier.  New opportunities and dangers will pop up.  In the end, it will not make us better or worse.  Just different.

In the mean time, I considering shaving my head in preparation.  I just need to remember where all of the moles and bumps are so I don't slice them off with the razor.

What Are We Learning For?

This week was a fun week in the House O' Schmoid.  One of the Middle School Daughter Unit's teachers sent home an email that she was getting dangerously behind on a project.  I would not have freaked out too much if this had been the first time, but sadly... no.  This led to a series of conversations with teachers and grandparents and ex-wives and... eventually with the MSD herself.  Everyone agreed with the importance of education and learning how to learn.  Even the MSD.  Of course, after 'adulting', I spent some time thinking about what kinds of expectations I was setting up for her.

All I Wanted Was a Pepsi

We've all heard the 'what are you going to do with your life' speeches from various parents and counselors and therapists and institutional learning facilities.  That all of what we learn in school is going to be useful later when we have to earn a living.  And even the stuff that seems useless (the Pythagorean theorem is the usual whipping boy, but I've actually used that a few times a year), is useful in what it teaches around problem solving and the creation of good study habits.  And I certainly did my part to land all of that with the MSD.  But, in the face of mass automation of the work force and the potential of a 'post-work' society, are all of those worn parental speeches still valid?

I wrote about some of this last week around the context of the Superb Owl and concluded that highly specialized entertainment skills like those used in American Football might be safe from automation.  However, I was unable to come to any conclusion for the rest of us more average human specimen.  And then I see stuff like:

with its spacial awareness and fast reflexes and extra articulation and I start to wonder exactly what reasons can be fed to a twelve-year old that are truthful motivations.

What Jobs of the Future?

Higher level thinking jobs are turning out to be some of the first to go.  Watson is doing a better job diagnosing cancers than 'real' doctors.  And it's not the only one.  Banks are using bots to help with personal finance and to stop fraud, taking out both customer service and law enforcement with one set of automation.  That's on top of the heavy automation going into factory and menial service jobs.

(courtesy Fastcompany.com)

Going a step farther and looking at some of the jobs that are projected to be hot in ten years, and most of those are already well on their way to being automated.  Small plot farm bots exist.  Medicine at all levels, from nurse to surgeon to researcher, is quickly getting automated because it minimizes mistakes.  Even 'sex worker coach' is being replaced by waifu pillows and ubiquitous internet porn.

One Word: Repair

As a parent, it is hard to make a serious argument for focused life direction.  I've considered recommending that she finish high school and not go to college, but go to a trade school.  Something like plumbing or carpentry or becoming an electrician.  While there is a lot of automation going on in those fields as well, most of it is in new construction.  Not repair.  All of the pipes and wires and boards in our homes and offices will break.  And they will break in such a way that an automated, task specific contraption will not be able to fix it.  Or at least not at the same price as one of the hoards of out-of-work laborers.

Of course, those jobs are not sexy.  They don't have the panache of an athlete or movie star or Wall Street type (or internet blogger).  They are so not sexy that there is already a shortage in the skilled trades.  Which just means that those that can will charge more.  Thanks, Invisible Hand.

With all of that said, telling a pre-teen girl who is into drawing and guitar and wearing fedoras that she should be an electrician was not something I dropped into the 'get your work done' conversation.  Even those jobs (maybe, especially those jobs) require the critical thinking, planning and attention to detail that school work is supposed to help teach.

If it's properly funded and attracts the right teachers... but we won't need to worry about that because the teachers will all be Test Bots, Amazon Alexa and YouTube videos.

And with that, I'll head back to 'adulting'.

The Human Bowl

I apologize for not giving you your weekly dose of Schmoid last week, but I had the opportunity to go skiing at Alta, UT (my favorite ski area) which meant less time for writing.  With that out of the way...

Happy American Sports Advertising Day!

I recognize that you are reading this on a Monday and that either Boston or Atlanta is celebrating city wide an achievement accomplished by 53 players plus associated coaches.  But I'll set aside the Illusion of Awesomeness Transference (IAT?  I'll have to work on that) and see if I can pull something IoT related out of the Superb Owl.

(source image)

Blitz the Robot

And, look!  I can!  And it's about jobs!  Oh, joy!  Many of the jobs that were once thought to be safe from automation are now being threatened.  From Wall Street stock pickers to truck driver to fast food service jobs, automation is taking over.  Even artistic endeavors are coming under attack.  All of which begs the question:

Are there any jobs that are safe from automation?

That's where the Super Bowl comes in.  (Most) Sports are safe from automation.  While it is possible to build robots that can run and jump and throw and move better than humans, it would make the sports pointless.   Something that can perform actions flawlessly every time becomes boring to watch very quickly.  What makes sports worth doing and worth watching is that we can relate to the human on the field doing something incredible, know that we cannot do it and marvel at their achievement.  With the robot, it quickly becomes "Oh, of course it can do that.  It's a robot."  And with that, we all switch off the game and the ad revenue dries up.  It is the imperfect striving for the perfect that inspires us, not the perfect being perfect.

An example of this is Battle Bots, the TV show that pitted remote controlled motorized devices against each other in a gladiatorial contest.  While not truly 'robotic' (the machines were not autonomous), it did not take long for the designer/pilots to figure out that low wedge flipping bots were offered the highest chance of winning.  From there, it was a matter of who could build the most maneuverable bot with the lowest front edge to their wedge, get it under the competitor and put them on their back.  The crazy saws and hammers and flame throwers that looked fabulous in promos turned out to be almost useless.  So the show got boring.  So the show got cancelled.  Twice.

We Can't All Be Athletes

The problem is that only those that are really close to perfect are worth using to sell beer and cars and nachos.  Everyone else is only interesting if they are related to you in some way.  The entire city of San Mateo, CA did not shut down and throw a party every time Tom Brady played football in High School.  I'm guessing, based entirely on my own lack of giving a sh** during that portion of my life, that not even the whole school showed up.

So, for those of us that aren't good at sports, how are we supposed to live if all of the other jobs have had humans automated out of them?  As with all things, there's some good news and some bad news.

The Good News

The reason to automate most things is because it allows for them to be made/accomplished for less money.  That means that the goods and services provided should become cheaper.  We won't need as much money to afford the basics because those basics will be cheaper.

But who wants to live on just the basics?  There is some good news there, too.  Even the mid-level luxury items should come down in price, not just because their production has been automated, but because...

The Bad News

... we won't have enough money to afford them if they don't.  If robots take all of the jobs and jobs are how we are expected to make money and money is how we continue to manage our economy, then there won't be any money for people to buy anything.  It won't matter how low the price is, no one (except the highest level athletes) will have anything to exchange for those goods and services.

The Even Worse News

The worst part is that we need this automation.  Not for the luxury goods, but for the subsistence level stuff.  With 7.5 Billion people on this planet (and growing), humans alone can no longer grow enough food to feed everyone.  We cannot care for the sick and elderly relying on just ourselves.  Sanitation, public safety, transportation, shelter.  None of it can be made on the necessary scale to deal with the growing population without automation.  We need automated fertilizer systems for agriculture.  We need elderly care bots.  We need home construction bots.  There are simply too many of us to manage it any other way.

But...

There are other solutions, but they are so draconian that they are barely worth mentioning.  Who gets to decide who gets to have children?  Who gets to decide who gets to live where?  Who gets to decide who deserves health care and who does not?  None of those things are going to happen.  At least not easily or quickly or on the global scale necessary for any real change to happen.  And would we want to live in that world if we did?  Fewer people also means fewer ideas and thoughts and ... athletes striving for perfection.

I don't have an ultimate answer to this dilemma.  Universal Basic Income is a start, but where will that money come from?  Tax the manufacturers and their robots just so people can afford the things that the robots make?  That sounds like a vicious cycle that will not end well.  But it may be a necessary step to a post-monetary society.  Not socialist, necessarily, but something else where people are freed from the basic grind to find food and water and shelter and health.  Where they can strive for something more.

This is Schmoid, signing off to go strive for my own perfection.